Training game

Confidence Auction

Participants estimate a number and stake points on how sure they are. The closest answer takes the whole pot, so the ranking moves after every question - and the last one can turn it all over.

What is the Confidence Auction game?

The trainer prepares questions whose answer is a single number - how many kilometres, what percentage, which year. Every participant gets the same bank of points and, on each question, declares two things: the number they believe and the stake they put behind it. Whoever lands closest takes everything the rest of the room put on the table.

This is a game about calibration: not how much you know, but whether you know how much you know. It works as a warm-up, as a check on the numbers from a whole training day, and as the finale where the prize genuinely hangs on the last question.

See how it works

One round: question, stake, reveal

The question goes on the projector, a participant types a number and picks a stake, and at the reveal the pot and double the stake go to the closest answer - reordering the standings in front of the room.

Features

Key capabilities

  • Closest wins, not only exact

    Nobody has to know the answer to the digit - what counts is the distance to the truth, which brings the whole room in, not just the trivia buffs.

  • The stake is the confidence - and it doubles on a win

    The table minimum, or half of what is left once a bank shrinks - and at most everything, all in. The closest answer collects every other stake plus twice their own from the bank, so betting boldly genuinely pays. Betting is compulsory, so nobody can sit a round out.

  • Standings after every question

    The trainer projects the round settlement and the new places. Who took a risk, and what it cost them, is visible to everyone.

  • Questions from AI or from your document

    Give a topic or point at a file and AI drafts questions with a number for an answer. You can also type them or paste a whole list.

  • Answers stay hidden from the room

    The true values never reach participants' phones - they appear only at the moment of the reveal.

  • A phone is all it takes

    Participants join with a QR code, no account and no install. Refreshing the page comes back to the same bank.

Step by step

How it works

  1. Write a question set

    Questions with one number for an answer - typed, pasted or drafted by AI. Set the starting bank and the minimum stake.

  2. Participants join

    Project the QR code; joining takes a name and nothing else. Everyone gets the same bank of points.

  3. Question, stake, reveal

    One question on screen, everybody declares a number and a stake, and you reveal the answer and pay the pot out.

  4. Play it out and debrief

    The game ends with the questions, or when only one player still has money. The final standings are a ready-made way into a conversation about confidence.

Use cases

What it’s good for

  • A warm-up at the start of a training day - industry numbers worth arguing about.
  • A check on the numbers quoted during the day: who really remembered the magnitudes and who just nodded.
  • A finale with a prize - a big bet on the last question can change the podium.
  • A workshop on risk and decision-making: the stake is a price put on your own certainty.
  • Onboarding: the numbers about the company, the product and the market, as a game.
  • Team-building - light, loud and fair to newcomers and veterans alike.

Training by Octigo

Want this run as a full training?

You are free to run our games and simulations on your own. But if you would like us to deliver a complete training, with a professional debrief and the concepts behind the “Confidence Auction” simulation explained in depth, get in touch. Octigo is a professional training company with 20 years of experience and many awards for its simulations.

  • 20 years of experience in corporate training
  • Award-winning training simulations
  • A professional debrief and takeaways after the session
  • A programme tailored to your goals and your team

Prefer to write to us directly? szkolenia@octigo.pl

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